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Sunday, December 23, 2007
Update on the Mars asteroid
New observations reduce the possibility from 1/75 (1.33%) to 0.3%. (via the MPML). The error ellipse has moved from near the center of a large uncertainity to the edge of the ellipse. See a diagram here.
As always, very impressive that the impact probability is still so high! I saw Mars on the way out of the Library tonight, and thought of what might happen in a month.
The impact probability has jumped up to four percent, so says: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news153.html
ReplyDeleteYeah--and did you see it was Andy Puckett who precovered the asteroid from SDSS?
ReplyDeleteNo, I didn't notice that at first, but score one for UofC...
ReplyDeleteThe latest update put it at 3.6%
ReplyDeletehttp://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news154.html
As always, very impressive that the impact probability is still so high! I saw Mars on the way out of the Library tonight, and thought of what might happen in a month.